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Leading research at the intersection of financial economics and data science.

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ARTICLES

A Resampling Approach for Causal Inference on Novel Two-Point Time-Series with Application to Identify Risk Factors for Type-2 Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease, by Xiaowu Dai, Saad Mouti, Marjorie Lima Do Vale, Sumantra Ray, Jeffrey Bohn, and Lisa Goldberg
Portfolio optimization via strategy-specific eigenvector shrinkage by Lisa Goldberg, Hubeyb Gurdogan, and Alec Kercheval
Ownership of ESG Characteristics by Mark Bateman and Lisa Goldberg
Sustainable investing and the cross-section of returns and maximum drawdown by Lisa Goldberg and Saad Mouti
2022-02: A propagation model to quantify business interruption losses in supply chain networks by Hubeyb Gurdogan, Nariman Maddah, Reyhaneh Mohammadi, Elena Pesce, Alicia Montoya, Jeffrey Bohn, and Katherine Dalis
2022-01: CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCIES (CBDCs): The coming of national e-currencies by Jeffrey Bohn, Gilles Papadopoulos, and Jurg Unger
Is Index Concentration an Inevitable Consequence of Market-Capitalization Weighting? by Lisa Goldberg, Ananth Madhavan, Harrison Selwitz, and Alex Shkolnik
On Existence Of Berk-Nash Equilibria In Misspecified Markov Decision Processes With Infinite Spaces by Robert Anderson, Haosui Duanmu, Aniruddha Ghosh, and M. Ali Khan
James-Stein for the Leading Eigenvector by Lisa Goldberg and Alec Kercheval
The Dispersion Bias by Lisa Goldberg, Alex Papanicolaou, and Alex Shkolnik
A synthesis of pathways linking diet, metabolic risk and cardiovascular disease: a framework to guide further research and approaches to evidence-based practice by Marjorie Lima do Vale, Luke Buckner, Claudia Gabriela Mitrofan, Claudia Raulino Tramontt, Sento Kai Kargbo, Ali Khalid, Sammyia Ashraf, Saad Mouti, Xiaowu Dai, David Unwin, Jeffrey Bohn, Lisa Goldberg, Rajna Golubic, and Sumantra Ray
Sustainable Investing From a Practioner's Viewpoint: What's in Your ESG Portfolio? by Jeffrey Bohn, Lisa Goldberg, and Simge Ulucam
James-Stein estimation of the first principal component by Alex Shkolnik
Multiple Anchor Point Shrinkage for the Sample Covariance Matrix by Hubeyb Gurdogan and Alec Kercheval
High Dimensional Decision Making, Upper and Lower Bounds by Farzad Pourbabaee
The Implied Futures Financing Rate, by Nicholas Gunther, Robert Anderson, Lisa Goldberg, and Alex Papanicolau
Tax-Rate Arbitrage: Realization of Long-Term Gains to Enable Short-Term Loss Harvesting, by Lisa Goldberg, Taotao Cai, and Pete Hand
Katrine Paaby Joensen and Anders Christjansen of Innovation Centre Denmark talk about the greening of corporate America
Computers Cannot Understand the Coronavirus by Kathleen Houssels and Stephen Dean
Hot or Not? A Nonparametric Formulation of the Hot Hand in Baseball
The Sustaining Thread of Mathematics: An Interview with Lisa Goldberg
Is There ESG Alpha? A Marketing Question in Research Clothing by Lisa Goldberg

CURRENT EVENTS

SEM217: Baeho Kim, Korea University:Long-History PCA under Dynamic Factor Model with Weaker Loadings (Joint work with Robert M. Anderson and Donghan Ryu)

Tuesday, April 23rd @ 11:00-12:30 PM, 648 Evans Hall and Zoom

The accurate estimation of the covariance matrix and its inverse (= precision) matrix of asset returns significantly shapes the range of admissible portfolio compositions and the potential magnitude of associated losses, given the portfolio manager's predetermined risk budget. In this study, we propose Long-History PCA (LH-PCA), which uses longer data histories (T_L), such as 1500 trading days or six years, to predict daily portfolio risks. We show that LH-PCA consistently estimates dynamic factor models with essentially arbitrary variable volatility structures and time-varying loadings with heterogeneous strengths.

AMS Special Session: Loeb Measure after Fifty Years

The Special Session included fourteen research papers and a one-hour discussion session. Two of Robert Anderson's papers were included in the program:

"General Equilibrium Theory for Measure-Theoretic Economies," joint with Haosui Duanmu, M. Ali Khan, and Metin Uyanik.

"Existence of Berk-Nash equilibrium with infinite spaces," joint with Haosui Duanmu, Aniruddha Ghosh and M. Ali Khan.

CDAR

RESEARCH

SEMINARS

SYMPOSIUMS

SEM217: Baeho Kim, Korea University:Long-History PCA under Dynamic Factor Model with Weaker Loadings (Joint work with Robert M. Anderson and Donghan Ryu)

AMS Special Session: Loeb Measure after Fifty Years